The Golden Globes air tomorrow starting off one of my favorite times of the year, movie award season! Of the two major movie award shows the Golden Globes tends to be overlooked by the Academy Awards (Oscars) most years, but the Globes also tend to set the tone for what’s to come a month later. With the best in film and television set to be honored I decided to break down who I think will and should win in each of the movie-themed categories tomorrow night.
I’ll be examining each category involving FILMS ONLY that will be presented at tomorrow night’s big show. I’ll be looking at who I think will win the award, who I think should win and even exploring the dark horses that could play spoiler if enough buzz has been generated to garner them the proper votes.
With that said I want to hear from you. What are your picks for the 2019 Golden Globes? Let me know in the comments below and be sure to tune in to the show on Sunday, Jan. 6 at 8 p.m. to see who takes home the coveted statuettes.
Best Picture — Drama
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born
WILL/SHOULD WIN: “A Star is Born”
Both a box office hit and a critical success the fourth take on “A Star is Born” could be the first remake since “Ben Hur’ to receive the Best Picture – Drama award at the Golden Globes. I picked it as my choice for not only who should win, but who WILL win because I do believe this is the most deserving film in this category and not just because I named it my favorite movie of 2018 either. “A Star is Born” packs amazing performances and a great narrative that hits on modern times while also remaining subtly timeless. For a film led by a freshman director and following up a great legacy from the past “A Star is Born” should be a shoe in for this award and many more.
DARK HORSE: “BlacKkKlansman”
There are a lot of movies from 2018 that touch on the racial divide of America but few got as much attention and praise as “BlacKkKlansman”. Directed by Spike Lee, this true story about a black cop who infiltrated the KKK may be the one film that can dethrone “A Star is Born” given its relevance to the modern social themes in America. With great direction and a career making performance from John David Washington, “BlacKkKlansman” has the buzz, the clout and the quality to be considered a potential dark horse in a group of very well-done pictures.
Best Picture — Comedy or Musical
Crazy Rich Asians
Mary Poppins Returns
WILL/SHOULD WIN: “The Favourite”
“The Favourite” has been, well, a favorite for many critics since it finally hit theaters at the end of 2018 making numerous best of the year lists including my own. It’s a sharply written comedy based on a real-life historical family battle for favoritism of Queen Anne that uses its performers perfectly and sports an awesome script and great design. It’s very deserving of the honor as one of the best comedies in years, but I do believe it doesn’t need my word to win the award. I think it’s a shoe in and will present the Oscars with a rare truly capable comedy of winning Best Picture in the 2010s. It would be only the second film after “The Artist” to do so this decade if it can pull it off.
DARK HORSE: “Green Book”
A lot of people actually have “Green Book” as the most likely entry to win this category but for me it’s a dark horse that is very deserving of consideration. If “The Favourite” does lose despite the buzz and critical success surrounding it, this biopic chronicling the friendship of a real-life black musician and his Italian American driver and bodyguard certainly deserves the honor over anyone else in this category with great acting and a delightfully humorous script that never overshadows its significant social message. Many people have compared it to “Driving Miss Daisy” which won this category in 1990 on its way to a Best Picture Oscar so whose to say “Green Book” won’t follow the same path?
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Drama
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman
WILL WIN: Rami Malek
While “Bohemian Rhapsody” has its issues one of the highlights of the film has always been Rami Malek as the charismatic real-life leader of Queen, Freddie Mercury. Malek had buzz surrounding his take on the singer from the start with many believing him to be a frontrunner for this award even before the 2018 Oscar were in the books. Those expectations were justified when we finally got to see what he did with the part and I think his hard work will pay off earning him his first Golden Globe.
SHOULD WIN: Bradley Cooper
Bradley Cooper not only directed but starred in “A Star is Born” and I think he heavily deserves the win even if he doesn’t get it. His take on an aging, drug addicted country star is awesome and layered showing that Cooper isn’t just a pretty boy. Cooper not only brings his A acting game he also learned how to sing properly and play guitar to bring authenticity to the role and I think his dedication and quality craftsmanship as a performer should be commended and recognized
DARK HORSE: John David Washington
The son of perennial award-season favorite Denzel Washington is quickly following in his father’s footsteps and while I don’t think he will win the award his nomination could be the one to shake things up in this category. Washington’s take on real life black detective Ron Stallworth who infiltrated the KKK is one of the best parts of “BlacKkKlansman” and shows that the actor can truly own his time in the spotlight when given great material. While he may not take the Golden Globe he certainly deserves to be considered a threat for the award.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Drama
Glenn Close, The Wife
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Nicole Kidman, Destroyer
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Rosamund Pike, A Private War
WILL WIN: Lady Gaga
This is a tough category for me as a movie fan because who I think will win and should win both deserve the recognition. Lady Gaga though has definitely garnered more attention and more buzz so I think she will be the one to walk away with trophy in hand. Gaga has won a Globe for her role in “American Horror Story” and I think she’ll add a film Globe to her credit tomorrow night thanks to her powerful, sincere and devoted take on a rising star in the modern world in “A Star is Born”.
SHOULD WIN/DARK HORSE: Glenn Close
But if I was to pick someone from this group of talented actresses who truly earns it on her own without the buzz it’s Glenn Close. Close has earned two television-based Globes but has never won for her roles in film despite four previous nominations. While Lady Gaga feels like the shoe in for this honor Close’s performance in “The Wife” as the titular spouse who finds empowerment as her husband prepared to accept a Nobel Prize is mesmerizing. Close gives it her all and carries the entire movie on her shoulders making “The Wife” a truly engaging viewing experience built for the modern feminist age. Close has come, well, close many times in her career and unfortunately I think she will only come close again making her not only my pick for who SHOULD win but my dark horse pick here as well.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy
Christian Bale, Vice
Lin Manuel Miranda, Mary Poppins Returns
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Robert Redford, The Old Man & the Gun
John C. Reilly, Stan & Ollie
WILL/SHOULD WIN: Christian Bale
I don’t think there’s a doubt in anyone’s mind that Christian Bale is going to win this award. Like Gary Oldman before him who won this award for drama last year after literally transforming into Winston Churchill for “Darkest Hour”, Christian Bale’s physical and personal transformation into controversial American VP Dick Cheney for “Vice” is astounding and impressive. “Vice” may not be looking at turning in a lot of success from its leading six nominations, but the acting nominations are its most likely success and Christian Bale has done more than earn this honor and the respect of critics through his work on the film. It would be Bale’s second Globe in his fourth nomination and this could very well result in his second Oscar. His previous wins in both award shows came from 2011’s “The Fighter” as a supporting actor.
DARK HORSE: VIGGO MORTENSON
“Green Book” has a lot going for it tomorrow night but once again it gets the Dark Horse spot here. Mortenson’s performance in this film is also transformative, although not near as much as Bale’s in “Vice”. That said if someone is going to step forward and steal the win it will be Mortenson who is looking for his first ever Golden Globe in his fourth nomination. Lin-Manuel Miranda deserves and honorable mention here, but I think it will be between Bale and Mortenson in the end with Bale easily coming out on top.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy
Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Elsie Fisher, Eighth Grade
Charlize Theron, Tully
Constance Wu, Crazy Rich Asians
WILL/SHOULD WIN: Olivia Coleman
As I said before, “The Favourite” has generated a lot of buzz and the actors and actresses involved have been a big part of that. While her female co-stars will battle it out for Best Supporting Actress Coleman is the sole representative of the cast here and is not only deserving but the most likely winner. Coleman’s take on the damaged and submissive Queen Anne is one of the best of the year by a female actor and, oddly enough, isn’t even the most notable role in e film taking a back seat to the warring cousins vying for her character’s affection. Coleman won her only other Golden Globe in 2017 for her work on television. In only her second nomination ever expect her to take the film award as well.
DARK HORSE: Emily Blunt and Constance Wu
I actually picked two women for this one for two different reasons. Emily Blunt was THE best part of “Mary Poppins Returns”, but she falls second in many major industry predictions to Olivia Coleman for the award. Blunt certainly would deserve the honor if she got it and it is her fifth try as a movie award (although she has won for her television role in “Gideon’s Daughter”) but I don’t think she has a chance over Coleman which makes her a Dark Horse who COULD be an upset. The true Dark Horse by definition though is Constance Wu. “Crazy Rich Asians” was a runaway hit in 2018 fueled by its Asian cast including Wu leading the way. She falls third in almost every prediction I’ve seen but could very easily earn some last-minute support to push her into the lead. Wu would be a surprise winner, but one that would be welcome by almost everyone watching the show.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice
WILL WIN: Mahershala Ali
After earning an Academy Award but not a Globe for his role in “Moonlight” a few years back, my prediction is that it may be the other way around for Mahershala Ali in 2019. I think his road to an Oscar might be harder than his likely inevitable win for a Globe for his role in “Green Book”. This is an incredible category with some very deserving performers and Ali has proven to be a respected award season contender and performer. While I think his co-star Viggo Mortenson has much heavier competition, Mahershala Ali shines as the most likely honoree here for his awesome, if historically inaccurate, take on piano prodigy Don Shirley. But this is a very competitive category which is why I only think he WILL win whereas two other performers are hot on his tail.
SHOULD WIN: Timothée Chalamet
When will this young actor get the credit he so very much deserves? After showing his talent as a professional artistic actor in 2017’s “Lady Bird” and “Call Me By Your Name”, the latter of which earned him nominations at both the Globes and the Oscars, Timothée Chalamet proved his talent again as a drug addict in 2018’s “Beautiful Boy”, a film that in my opinion was incredibly underrated. He and Steve Carell made an amazing team in that movie each presenting different sides to the struggle of addiction. Chalamet will no doubt earn nominations for years to come, but while he’s only been in the business a short while he’s more than deserved an award for literally any of his performances so far. I’m hoping that 2019 will give him the statuettes he most certainly deserves for a performance that should be honored.
DARK HORSE: Adam Driver
“BlacKkKlansman” earns a Dark Horse honor AGAIN, this time for it’s supporting star Adam Driver who plays the white cop that teams with Ron Stallworth to pull of the ruse against the KKK. While John David Washington got most of the love, Driver’s performance has been subtly praised as another highlight of the film and Driver himself is often underappreciated as an actor anyway. This is Driver’s first Golden Globe nomination and while it might not be his first win as well it will hopefully be one of many awards nomination to come especially if he continues to make smart choices by working on films like this.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Amy Adams, Vice
Claire Foy, First Man
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
WILL/SHOULD WIN: Amy Adams
After Leonardo DiCaprio finally won his Oscar years ago Amy Adams became the next person in line that everyone was looking at asking “when will they finally get theirs?” I think that time is now. While Adams has not won an Oscar she does have two Globes as a lead actress and even has two nominations in this year’s award, one for television in “Sharp Objects” and this one for her film role in “Vice” as Lynne Cheney. While Christian Bale does dominate the screen Amy Adams is just as charming and devoted to her role as her co-star presenting us with an interesting take on the wife of the former VP who proves to be just as devious and power hungry as her husband. Going back to my early statements, while Adams does have a few Golden Globes and will likely and hopefully earn another one here this role will also hopefully nab her a sixth Oscar nomination and bring her the statuette that is long overdue.
DARK HORSE: Regina King
“If Beale Street Could Talk” has yet to receive an expanded release so me and many others can’t really tell at this point just how deserving Regina King is for this honor. That said though “If Beale Street Could Talk” has quietly become a Dark Horse for the entire aware ceremony which Regina’s nomination being targeted as the most likely potential win for the film. King looks to be heavy competition for Amy Adams in many polls and if she does succeed in taking the Globe I hope this will push Annapurna Pictures to finally expand the film’s release so we can see her performance for ourselves.
Best Director — Motion Picture
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay, Vice
WILL WIN: Alfonso Cuarón
Netflix has been cursed as the red-headed stepchild of film distributors because many of its movies are through streaming and not on the big screen. However many see “Roma” a the film that will change all that and I too believe it will lead to a few big honors including the Best Director win for Alfonso Cuarón. It wouldn’t and shouldn’t be a shock if Cuarón takes the trophy seeing as his masterpiece is so meticulously crafted. Not only is he on top of nearly every prediction I’ve seen, he also happens to deserve it as “Roma” looks to also be a big favorite to win Best Picture at the Oscars next month. It would be Cuarón’s second win in this category after “Gravity” which also brought him an Academy Award.
SHOULD WIN: Bradley Cooper
Second to Cuarón in many polls, Bradley Cooper made waves with his directorial debut “A Star is Born” and shouldn’t only win Best Drama and Best Actor – Drama, he should win Best Director too. Cuarón is very deserving and will likely win the award, but if we’re looking at who proved the most in 2018 it was Cooper who seamlessly made the jump from in front of the camera to behind it. “A Star is Born” is a great work that mixed mainstream drama with artistic quality. Personally, I think it will be between “A Star is Born” and “Roma” for the Best Picture Oscar and I think whoever wins this Oscar could give their respective masterpiece an edge coming out of the Globes.
DARK HORSE: Spike Lee
Sadly, Spike Lee’s long-overdue Oscar and Golden Globe will broth probably have to wait, but if there’s any film that could surprise (as we’ve seen already in this post) it’s “BlacKkKlansman”. Believe it or not this is Lee’s first Globe nomination and it comes with a film that is socially relevant and probably one of his most mainstream pieces to date. While I do believe that he’s worth the recognition and definitely overdue for a win, I also believe there are more deserving people in this category and two of them are pretty much guaranteed to be the frontrunners while Lee once again watches from the sidelines.
Best Screenplay — Motion Picture
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, The Favourite
Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk
Adam McKay, Vice
Peter Farrelly, Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Green Book
WILL/SHOULD WIN: “The Favourite”
This was a tough category to call as the predictions, and even my own preference, are all over the place. But, I have to give the advantage to “The Favourite” here as not only the heavy, well, favorite (again) to win but also the most deserving. The writing on this movie is absolutely fantastic from the script to the staging and the intricate detail of the narrative. It’s the whole package. What’s neat is that the three front runners on many lists, “The Favourite”, “Vice” and “Green Book”, are all historic comedies but for me the one that did the best at adapting it’s real life inspiration into a hilarious, charming and watchable cinematic experience is “The Favourite” so I’m not only giving it my vote, I’m thinking it will get many more as well.
DARK HORSE: “Vice” and “Green Book”
As I mentioned above both of these films are I the running for this award in many predictions and both deserve it. It’s not easy to take real life and make it amusing, but all three of the frontrunners did in 2018. While I do think there is sharp writing in both “Vice” and “Green Book” I labeled them both as Dark Horses because I don’t feel they can or will beat “The Favourite” in the end. I’m going to predict and assume the voters will respect the detail and wit put into “The Favourite” and give it the credit it’s due, but for me “Vice” and “Green Book” aren’t far behind and are perfectly caopable of stealing the win.
Best Motion Picture — Animated
Isle of Dogs
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
WILL/SHOULD WIN: “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse”
This is by far the most competitive this category has been in a while, but even then “Into the Spider-Verse” is not only the heavy favorite but the most deserving move of the bunch and here’s why: We have come to expect great things from Disney, Pixar and Wes Anderson, the makers of “Ralph Breaks the Internet”, “Incredibles 2” and “Isle of Dogs” respectively. But we don’t ever really expect much from Sony Picture Animation. The studio has produced three other Golden Globe nominated films but none have ever stood out as sure fire works of art. “Into the Spider-Verse” though changed everyone’s outlook on this studio and what they are capable of. With unique animation, charming voice work and a fun and engaging story “Into the Spider-Verse” is inventive and unique in its own way making it not only the best animated film of 2018 in the eyes of many critics, but eventually through honors like this as well.
DARK HORSE: “Incredibles 2”
Never count out Pixar. Even when a studio does step up to make itself relevant Pixar is always there to be a threat and “Incredibles 2” can easily upset “Into the Spider-Verse” to accomplish what its predecessor was never allowed to do and win in this category at the Golden Globes. This award has only been around since 2007 so the first movie was unable to achieve this honor. With that said the original film did win an Oscar and Pixar has won eight of the nine times they were nominated before so while Sony may have the favorite and the most deserving movie this year, Pixar remain the one to beat with a sequel 14 years in the making that lived up to every expectation set upon it.
Best Picture — Foreign Language
Never Look Away
WILL/SHOULD WIN: “Roma”
Admittedly I know little about any film in this category other than “Roma” but there’s no contest here. “Roma” has the most buzz, is included on many best of the year lists and even earned its director a nomination so it would be impossible not to consider this the favorite here. This is possibly the most predictable award of the night and when and if “Roma” takes home the trophy this will help make the case for the film being considered a Best Picture contender. Look for “Roma” to stomp the competition here, so much so that I’m not even picking a Dark Horse. I don’t think anyone else has a chance.
Best Original Score — Motion Picture
Marco Beltrami, A Quiet Place
Alexandre Desplat, Isle of Dogs
Ludwig Göransson, Black Panther
Justin Hurwitz, First Man
Marc Shaiman, Mary Poppins Returns
WILL WIN: “Mary Poppins Returns”
This was the hardest category for me to decide on because all of the nominees are being overlooked in pretty much every other category. That said how can you not consider the musical to be the favorite here? “Mary Poppins Returns” not only captures the spirit and charm of the original, it adds to it with its own unique modern musical flair. Marc Shaiman is looking for his first win in this category, which is odd considering his three Oscar nominations in the comparable category on that show, and he certainly earns it here and will likely take it for his mix of nostalgia and Broadway flair in a sequel few probably asked for but we’re glad we have to enjoy.
SHOULD WIN/DARK HORSE: “Black Panther”
This Marvel smash hit may be getting overlooked in every other category but here it probably deserves more credit than anyone else in my book. Ludwig Göransson is seeking his first Globe and has proven himself a talented mainstay in modern film also providing the score for 2018 hits “Creed II” and “Venom”. While he may not get it and stands as the Dark Horse in my book I do feel his melding of traditional African sounds, modern electronic and hip hop style and typical superhero flair make “Black Panther” one of the year’s best soundtracks and original scores that should hopefully FINALLY break the MCU’s award season rejection curse.
Best Original Song — Motion Picture
“All the Stars,” Black Panther
“Girl in the Movies,” Dumplin’
“Requiem for a Private War,” A Private War
“Revelation,” Boy Erased
“Shallow,” A Star Is Born
WILL/SHOULD WIN: “Shallow”
An easy pick and the easy favorite to win is “Shallow”, the main single from the “A Star is Born” soundtrack written specifically for the film and impeccable performed by Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper. It might be a cliché, but how can a song written for a story about a rising musical star not be the favorite here especially one so poignant and powerful in its delivery and context? “Shallow” not only embraces the powerful and charming nature of “A Star is Born” it has proven to be infectious and is miles above the rest of the competition in terms of popularity and quality. It’s well written, fits well with the movie’s theme and is sure to be the top vote-getter tomorrow night.
DARK HORSE: “All the Stars”
As I said in the Original Score prediction, “Black Panthers” soundtrack seems to be the most likely place where it will get the love it deserves from awards voters. “All the Stars” is the lead single from the film and was featured prominently in the promotional campaign for the movie before becoming a hit single from the soundtrack. A modern electronic hip-hop sound drives this film which fits the tone and feel of the rest of the movie’s soundtrack and the mythical dream and conflict based theme of the song fits T’Challa’s in-film journey nicely. It won’t be “Shallow” but “All the Stars” is a worthy contender that has the potential to surprise even if it actually wont.