2017 Golden Globe Predictions

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The 75th Golden Globes take center stage this Sunday night and in preparation for the big night I looked at the nominees and formed my opinions of who should and probably will win in the big film categories for 2018. As a precursor to the Oscars, the Golden Globes often sets the stage for who the award season front runners will be and this year the competition is as fierce as ever. So before the big night I examined each category and picked out the nominees I’d like to see win and the ones I think will eventually come out on top.

To break down the show and my predictions I looked at each category below, highlighting those I think WILL win and those I think SHOULD win and sometimes these selections were one in the same. I also added a blurb discussing why I made the predictions. I look forward to feedback from you, my readers, on who your favorite nominees are so let me know in the comments below. How accurate are my predictions? Well we will find out this Sunday Jan. 7 when the show goes live at 8 p.m. ET on NBC.

 

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Nominees:

Jessica Chastain in “Molly’s Game”

Sally Hawkins in “The Shape of Water”

Frances McDormand in “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Meryl Streep in “The Post”

Michelle Williams in “All The Money in the World”

 

SHOULD WIN: Sally Hawkins    WILL WIN: Sally Hawkins

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“The Shape of Water” has been a heavy early favorite for awards season 2018, but Sally Hawkins performance as mute Elisa is probably the biggest part of this hype in terms of acting. Her performance was absolutely captivating as her character had to say so much with so little making it one of the most subtle and artistic performances of the year in 2017. My call is that despite the great work of her worthy competition Sally will come out on top and take the coveted award, as she should, which will lead to her nomination as a heavy favorite at the Oscars.

 

 

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Nominees:

Timothée Chalamet in “Call Me By Your Name”

Daniel Day-Lewis “Phantom Thread”

Tom Hanks in “The Post”

Gary Oldman in “Darkest Hour”

Denzel Washington in “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”

 

SHOULD WIN: Gary Oldman     WILL WIN: Gary Oldman

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This is admittedly a category with still a lot to play out as “The Post” and “Phantom Thread” have yet to be released wide so the performances in that film are still up in the air. However, despite the merit of the remaining actors on this list one has stood above them all as the most celebrated male performance of 2017 and that is Oldman. He perfectly captured the mannerisms, personality and image of Winston Churchill in “Darkest Hour” to the point where he was being considered the winner for both the Globe and the Oscar before the film was even released. Oldman is an exceptional actor and this performance proved he can tackle any role. I think this will not only nab him his first Golden Globe, but his first Academy Award and he deserves it for the effort and perfection of his amazing take on the World War II era leader of the United Kingdom.

 

 

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Nominees:

Judi Dench in “Victoria & Abdul”

Helen Mirren in “The Leisure Seeker”

Margot Robbie in “I, Tonya”

Saoirse Ronan in “Lady Bird”

Emma Stone in “Battle of the Sexes”

 

SHOULD WIN: Saoirse Ronan    WILL WIN: Margot Robbie

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My first prediction to be split it’s hard to ignore the buzz around Margot Robbie’s take on the controversial figure skater Tonya Harding. While we have yet to see the dark comedy in wide release, Robbie’s performance in “I, Tonya” has been considered electrifying and it’s very likely voters will respond well to this hype. Considering the sneak peaks we’ve gotten of her performance in trailers to date I’d say it’s warranted, but I do believe there is a more worthy option on the table and hopefully voters agree. “Lady Bird” was named my favorite movie of 2017 and Saoirse Ronan’s performance as the titular rebel is a big reason why. Her performance was captivating and filled with both subtle nuances and in-your-face commentary that Saoirse managed quite well for a young up-and-comer. I think her performance is the most worthy of the bunch, but we’ll see if Robbie will top her or if one of the other performers come from the woodwork to surprise me.

 

 

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Nominees:

Steve Carell in “Battle of the Sexes”

Ansel Elgort in “Baby Driver”

James Franco in “The Disaster Artist”

Hugh Jackman in “The Greatest Showman”

Daniel Kaluuya in “Get Out”

 

SHOULD WIN: James Franco       WILL WIN: James Franco

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While I was tempted to go with Daniel Kaluuya on this one seeing as “Get Out” is getting plenty of award season buzz, I felt the performance of Franco as mysterious filmmaker Tommy Wiseau in “The Disaster Artist” was just way to captivating to ignore. The film was amazing, and Franco perfectly captured his subject to the point where, like Gary Oldman, many had him pegged as a top contender for actor awards from the very beginning. I think Oldman and Franco will dominate their respective categories and it will be those two who vie for the Best Actor prize when the Academy Awards come around.

 

 

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Nominees:

Mary J. Blige in “Mudbound”

Hong Chau in “Downsizing”

Allison Janney in “I, Tonya”

Laurie Metcalf in “Lady Bird”

Octavia Spencer in “The Shape of Water”

 

SHOULD WIN: Hong Chau       WILL WIN: Laurie Metcalf

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This to me was an interesting one to pick and, surprisingly enough I actually think “Lady Bird’s” Laurie Metcalf has the best chance to win it all, but she’s not my chocie to actually take home the prize. Still, Metcalf’s performance, like Saoirse Ronan’s, was captivating and top notch and I’ll be happy to see her take the Globe if my prediction pulls through. However, I feel one performance in this category can NOT be overlooked and that’s Hong Chau’s take on a Vietnamese activist in “Downsizing”. For me she was a brilliant bright spot in a film that, while still pretty good, was a bit underwhelming for my expectations. From the accent to her character’s personality this was by far the most complete performance in this film and deserves to be a frontrunner on Sunday night.

 

 

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Nominees:

Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”

Armie Hammer “Call Me By Your Name”

Richard Jenkins “The Shape of Water”

Christopher Plummer “All The Money in the World”

Sam Rockwell “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

 

SHOULD WIN: Sam Rockwell      WILL WIN: Christopher Plummer

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It’s hard to vote against the favorite and Plummer is a perennial favorite of award voters each time he hits the screen. He should definitely be commended for his work replacing Kevin Spacey in “All the Money in the World” bringing to the screen a representation of a real-life billionaire that we could both love and hate at the same time. However, Sam Rockwell’s performance in “Three Billboards” was absolutely captivating as an alcoholic cop who juggles inner demons as he tries to ward off a grieving mother on the warpath. Rockwell’s performance showed the full extent of his range and it was hard to see any other actor in that role. As good as Plummer’s performance was, Rockwell’s contained more depth, subtlety and, frankly, more presentation of talent and while Plummer certainly deserves praise I don’t feel his work outshined the brilliant performance Rockwell turned in for one of 2017’s best dramadies. We’ll see if the voters agree with me.

 

 

 

 

BEST SCREENPLAY

Nominees:

Guillermo Del Toro and Venessa Taylor for “The Shape of Water”

Greta Gerwig for “Lady Bird”

Liz Hannah and Josh Singer for “The Post”

Martin McDonagh for “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Aaron Sorkin for “Molly’s Game”

 

SHOULD WIN: Greta Gerwig       WILL WIN: Greta Gerwig

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Without a good script films just cannot stand and while Greta Gerwig was sadly left out of the Director consideration for the Golden Globes she deserves and will likely win the award here for her screenplay. “Lady Bird” was filled with fantastic conversations and exchanges that all felt natural and real as we watched a maturing young woman interact with lovers, friends, and, especially, her mother. Every line fell off the actors’ lips like a true back and forth caught on tape and while the performances made for great delivery, the dialogue and writing itself was top notch giving us a script filled with relatable messages and conflicts worthy of award-winning status. Let’s hope it takes home the gold.

 

 

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Nominees:

Carter Burwell for “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Alexandre Desplat for “The Shape of Water”

Jonny Greenwood for “Phantom Thread”

John Williams for “The Post”

Hans Zimmer for “Dunkirk”

 

SHOULD WIN: Alexandre Desplat     WILL WIN: Hans Zimmer

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Although I didn’t quite adore “Dunkirk” as much as others did I still found merit in its effective, if confusing story structure and with little dialogue included in the film the score was heavily depended on the score to set the mood. Hanz Zimmer added his own great personal touch to the project giving us a captivating soundtrack that deserves to be considered heavily for this award on Sunday, but for me Alexandre Desplat’s haunting score for “The Shape of Water” was a bit more memorable. Matching the tone, style, and era of the film Desplat’s score set the mood and never let up and added to the film’s effective use of atmosphere and non-vocal communication to tell the story. It might be outshined by the much more well known Zimmer’s score, but Desplat’s production for the much-loved fantasy offering deserves to be right there at the top of the running order.

 

 

 

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Nominees:

“Home” from “Ferdinand”

“Mighty River” from “Mudbound”

“Remember Me” from “Coco”

“The Star” from “The Star”

“This Is Me” from “The Greatest Showman

 

 

SHOULD WIN: “Remember Me”      WILL WIN: “This Is Me”

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When a song is from a musical it’s easy to put it right at the top of the list of potential award winners in a category like this. After all “This Is Me” was written by the same duo that did the music for the beloved 2017 contender “La La Land”. The entire soundtrack for “The Greatest Showman” was filled with potential award nominees and this song became the lead single and push track from the film. However, it’s not the most deserving even if it is the easy favorite for the win. No, for my personal pick I chose a nominee that packed a bit more subtlety, “Remember Me”. Simple and soft-spoken “Remember Me” not only captured the moral core of Pixar’s “Coco” it was actually a major plot devise. Whether it’s the faster paced pop version on the credits or the softer lullaby that brought a tear to many eyes in the theater “Remember Me” deserves to be remembered as a Golden Globe winner and I’m hoping I’m wrong in thinking the merits of “The Greatest Showman” don’t overpower the true quality of this emotional ballad.

 

 

 

BEST DIRECTOR

Nominees:

Guillermo Del Toro for “The Shape of Water”

Martin McDonagh for “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Christopher Nolan for “Dukirk”

Ridley Scott for “All the Money in the World”

Steven Spielberg for “The Post”

 

SHOULD WIN:  Christopher Nolan      WILL WIN: Christopher Nolan

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I can’t deny that “Dunkirk”, despite its flaws, was the year’s best directed film by far. Upon rewatches its time-based story format makes much more sense and Nolan deserves a lot of credit for taking his vision and creating a fully realized product that might not be the best film of the year, but contains some of the most dedicated camerawork and direction we’ve seen in a long time. I debated giving del Toro my pick on this list, but even I can’t deny that everything great about “Dunkirk” was great because Nolan had a vision and he made sure that vision was seen through to the very end. He is very deserving of the award that will probably cement him once and for all as a great among his peers…as if he wasn’t already

 

 

 

 

BEST MOTION PICTURE – ANIMATED

Nominees:

“The Boss Baby”

“The Breadwinner”

“Coco”

“Ferdinand”

“Loving Vincent”

 

SHOULD WIN: “Coco”      WILL WIN: “Coco”

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Noone has it over Pixar this time. While the studio has not been at its best in recent years, “Coco” was a return to form as their best film since “Inside Out”. With a touching story, amazing animation, and memorable characters “Coco” was the best mainstream release in animation from 2017. Honestly this category if filled with otherwise underwhelming or artsy animated offerings, so having “Coco” compete against this lot made this probably the easiest pick for me on both ends of the spectrum.

 

 

 

BEST MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Nominees:

“The Disaster Artist”

“Get Out”

“The Greatest Showman”

“I, Tonya”

“Lady Bird”

 

SHOULD WIN: “Lady Bird”        WILL WIN: “The Disaster Artist”

This one was a tough call for me because there has been hype around every nominee in this category. Hopefully I’m wrong, but I see “The Disaster Artist” taking a surprise victory in this category due to the excellent directing and performances combined with a fully realized and hilarious comedy riddled story about a creator who brought to life one of the worst pictures ever. My hope however is that my personal preference will come out on top instead and it should be no surprise if “Lady Bird” does walk away a winner. After all it holds the record for most reviews with a sustained 100% on Rotten Tomatoes so it is a critical darling, but something in my gut says the film will be criminally underappreciated all the same. I hope I’m reading it all wrong, but we’ll have to wait and see when the Globes are finally distributed.

 

 

 

 

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Nominees:

“Call Me By Your Name”

“Dunkirk”

“The Post”

“The Shape of Water”

“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

 

SHOULD WIN: “The Shape of Water”     WILL WIN: “Dunkirk”

In my opinion this is the biggest award of the night by far and the most competitive lineup of nominees that could very well determine the frontrunners for the big award at the Oscars later this year. I feel like “Durkirk” is being set up to dominate and take both Best Director and Best Motion Picture – Drama. There’s no denying the love this film has received and despite my own reservations critics and filmmakers alike seem to just drool over everything about this film, from it’s plot design to the cinematography. However I’m personally picking the movie many people have also said is most deserving and that’s “The Shape of Water”. I feel this fantasy drama deserves to live up to the hype surrounding it and while it might not be the best film overall of 2017 in my opinion I feel like the story, set designs, atmosphere, music, acting and everything else associated with it all come together as one of the best overall packages any director presented last year. I might set myself up for a fall here believing that “The Shape of Water” can even be beaten, but even if it doesn’t win I think it deserves the award more than anyone else.

 

 

Be sure to check out the Golden Globes this Sunday, Jan. 7 at 8 p.m. ET on NBC to see the results in full.

1 comments on “2017 Golden Globe Predictions”

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